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Title:Excess deaths, the data

Champion mountain biker dies www.telegraph.co.uk/cycling/2022/08/24/rab-wardell… www.theguardian.com/sport/2022/aug/24/mountain-bik… Rab Wardell wins Scottish MTB XC Championships Dies in his sleep a few days later at 37 Scottish cycling We have very little information at this stage, Katie Archibald He had suffered a cardiac arrest the paramedics arrived within minutes, but his heart stopped and they couldn’t bring him back Inquiry into excess deaths in Scotland since the start of the pandemic www.parliament.scot/chamber-and-committees/committ… data.gov.scot/coronavirus-covid-19/detail.html#exc… Scottish government Deaths in Scotland are 11% above average for this time of year and have been above the average for the past 26 weeks Indications and utility of cardiac genetic testing in athletes June 16th 2022 academic.oup.com/eurjpc/advance-article/doi/10.109… www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2022/06/220616194624… Up to 80% of athletes who die suddenly had no symptoms or family history of heart disease Excess all-cause mortality across counties in the United States, March 2020 to December 2021 www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9094106/ An estimated 936,911 excess deaths occurred during 2020 and 2021, of which 171,168 (18.3%) were not assigned to Covid-19 on death certificates (as an underlying cause of death) Excess mortality in England and English regions www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/08/18/silent-crisis-… England and Wales For 14 of the past 15 weeks, around 1,000 extra deaths each week, (none of which are due to covid If the current trajectory continues Number of non-Covid excess deaths will soon outstrip covid deaths this year (2022) Circulatory and diabetes, cancers Prof Carl Heneghan, director of the Centre for Evidence Based Medicine, Oxford University Excess deaths began to increase noticeably from around the end of April. They have stayed high compared with the past seven years. The signals in the data suggest something is not quite right Sustained rises in deaths should trigger an investigation, that may involve accessing the raw data on death certificates, a random sample of medical notes, or analysing autopsies. I feel there is a lack of clear thinking at the moment and, when it comes to people’s health and wellbeing, you can’t wait – it’s unacceptable England and Wales, 681 excess deaths at home, (28.1% more than expected) www.gov.uk/government/statistics/excess-mortality-… app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiYmUwNmFhMjYtNGZhYS0… Our world in data excess deaths ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid Excess deaths = Reported deaths – Expected deaths P scores www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/births… People who would have died this year from old age and natural causes, dyed in the past 2 years from covid Therefore, this years excess deaths should be below average


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